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Blog News Political Storm Hits Arab World - Thoughts on Egypt Revolution, Regional Unrest

Political Storm Hits Arab World - Thoughts on Egypt Revolution, Regional Unrest

8 , PoorBest 
07 February 2011 12:38 | |

Arab World has been shocked with massive demonstrations, coming from the Tunisian spark, who first started and "succeeded" to force their president step out! I guess Tunisians, and Mohmmad Al-Boazizzi who triggered the revolution by burning himself to death, were not aware that their demonstrations will happen to be contagious, crawling to other Arabic Countries, Egypt on top of them took it seriously and quickly.

The Political Storm has hit all; politics is way too complicated, some people are simple, others are going insane! Here I will list a set of thoughts that have been storming my brain, following up on news, and going into discussions with various people.

Thoughts on Egypt Revolution, Arab World

  1. "Democracy doesn't happen overnight & things must not be done in ways that shock the system"! I'm not a pro-Mubarak neither anti-Mubarak, I support peace, human rights and smooth transition of power.

  2. Arabs are mostly driven by emotions, especially at unrest times! I wish we could be more rational at such times, that will result in certain achievements. Irrationalism might lead to disorder.

  3. Egypt is not Tunisia, nor any other country! I wonder how Egyptians picked this exact timing; were they just being emotional and affected by the "success" of the Tunisian revolution? tho we can't judge it actually succeeded at this stage yet! I always wonder why didn't they protest at the time of elections for example, at that time they might be a replacement that they mostly confirm, how come they were not eager and couldn't protest against the "fake" 99.9% of vote cast at that time, and now they do? What motivated them to the max?
    Countries are different, The American Revolution turned out one way, the French Revolution another, so is the Tunisian, each country has its own specialties, people should focus to achieve the optimum results, revolutions might end well or badly!

  4. People are emotional, so is the president, but he seems more rational! People are enthusiastic to get what they want: Mubarak to step down, NOW and only NOW! The President is also eager to maintain power, and he doesn't want to lose his role, dignity and all after 30 years of leadership, he said he wants to maintain peace in Egypt before he leaves, tho he wont mind to maintain his fortune too!

  5. Protest for change, what change! gather with people, set all of your goals, make a plan, define and evaluate the change you want first, then go and protest asking for defined steps, or at least brainstorm your cells to come up with clues on what you want. People shouldn't protest for the sake of opposition. Do what you have to, work on the change you want yourself, push your efforts to the limits, if all failed then protest and ask for the change you want.

  6. The protesters agree on what they are against, not what they are for! What concerns me the most is that they don't have a replacement, they are mostly emotional and eager to drop the current system without having another clear plan in a country full of different communities, beliefs and ranges which makes the situation even more alarming!

  7. Though I stand neutral in between, and Mubarak was almost absent at critical times, broadcasting late speeches with mostly nothing related to what is actually happening on the Egyptian ground, I have sensed "wisdom" in his latest speech, confirming that he will not go for another round of elections, neither his son, and asked for quick updates on constitution to widen the range of presidency candidates, besides his speech to ABC: "I don't care what people say about me. Right now I care about my country, I care about Egypt". Throwing it in Obama's face: "You don't understand the Egyptian culture and what would happen if I step down now"  and warning that islamists might take control after, confirmed by Iranian leader calling it Islamic Uprising. Mubarak also said he told U.S. President Barack Obama he wants to resign but fears Egypt will sink into chaos if he does. I guess he might be having a point so why not to wait for another couple of weeks, confirming constitution is actually updated to accept candidates, then wait couple of months for election and select the right savior for Egypt. If any of Mubarak promises went wrong then for sure you'll be knocking him out backed up with the whole world. For now I guess people need to assume good faith and give the man some credit, he ruled the country for 30 years through thick and thin!

  8. Egyptians are the only ones eligible to decide! I guess most of other people -not politicians- analysis is kind of invalid. What happens in Egypt should be decided by Egyptians, All Egyptian people should decide, not only the 5 to 10 million protester but all of the 80 million. The world should listen to all, those who are against current system and those who could find their way through and succeed under such system. They all have to vote for what they want, whether for a new president coming from Mubarak's system or for a new savior accepted by majority.

  9. What is next! Egyptians should seriously focus on what is next, because Mubarak will be stepping down in couple of days, weeks or months, he is leaving. So Egypt should seriously work on assenting a new President that will fix the damage, economic crisis and work on a better future for one of the biggest countries in Arab World.

  10. Egypt crisis has other Arab leaders worried! Quoting Mr. Marwan Muasher, Senior Vice President of World Bank and former foreign minister, deputy prime minister of Jordan, in the first point I quote him here too: "Arabs might not be calling for democracy as it's known in the West, but they are demanding better rule of law, equitable treatment and far less corruption. These things can't happen without political reform. Arab leaders need to understand that if they want to maintain power, they have to share it. Otherwise, what is happening in Egypt won't stay in Egypt."
    Yemen: President Ali Abdullah Saleh said he will step down when his current term ends in 2013. Algeria: President Abdelaziz Bouteflika
    has announced that a state of emergency - which has been in place since 1992 - will be lifted. He has also announced plans for new job creation schemes. Other protests were held in many other countries, Libya, Lebanon, Syria, Palestine, Morocco and Saudi Arabia. Same in Jordan, as King Abdullah II requested Mr Marouf Al Bakhit to form a new government following a set of protests against former government led by Mr Samir Al Rifai. Though things are different in Jordan as Royal Family and Monarchy are widely accepted, so people are asking for change under the monarchy (a post on Jordan situation, people and new government soon to come)

Note: Egypt is not the only country affected, facing a huge financial crisis, nor Jordan as an impact of attacking the gas pipeline supplying our kingdom, but Jordan and the whole Arab World are financially affected as most of emotional Arabic employees and students efficiency is dropped to one of its lowest levels, some people are following the news intensively and neglecting their major tasks! As one Arabic proverb say: They seek consolations to cry [tragedy hunters], they seek weddings to dance [glory hunters] !!

Now tell us what do you think of the storm hitting Arab World and what are your expectations, what is next?!

UPDATE, February 11: Now as Hosni Mubarak stepped down and handed his power over to the Egyptian Military & Army, resulting in celebrations all over Egypt, it's now clear that most Egyptians were against Mubarak's system. Back to points 9 & 6 above, mentioning that Mubarak's System is for sure leaving and asking Egyptians to focus more on future in a rational way, I stress on this point again, I congratulate Egyptians for achieving step number 1, while more serious steps need to be taken now in order to smoothly transform power, spreading peace, democracy, safety and stability all over Egypt. It's time (or even it has been time since weeks as I mentioned above) to assent a new system and savior!
Coming from all that celebrations in Egypt, it feels like Egypt has won WorldCup but they didn't, they won Freedom, I hope Egyptians all the best to win Democracy & Stability soon :] I admire the spirit of youth.. Congrats :] Hope you'll never regret old times, and wont be used  and abused by other parties! Step 1 accomplished, more serious steps to go! Keep the spirit up to gather all on a new savior accepted by majority, who would spread democracy all over Egypt.

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Political Storm Hits Arab World - Thoughts on Egypt Revolution, Regional Unrest

0 #6
Moey 08 February 2011
I agree and I hope what's next is better...
0 #5
Omar Tahboub 08 February 2011
Interesting thoughts, Rani. Thanks for sharing. I mostly disagree, however, with your line of thinking.

By definition, popular protests happen when the people of a country (Arab or otherwise) explode as a reaction to suppression or pressure by the ruling authority.

Like explosions, protests are unorganized, triggered by sparks, unplanned, chaotic, random, forceful, emotionally charged, etc.

One shouldn't (I believe) criticize nor praise these qualities of protests. This is just how they are -- by definition. One should expect protests like the one in Egypt to take place given the circumstances that led to the protest. I think that what we are seeing in Egypt and what we saw in Tunisia is universal human nature.
0 #4
Raed 07 February 2011
I respect you moderate opinions BUT allow me to comment:
1. Emotional motivation has always been the trigger for all revolutions in history, rationality is referred to as a coup not revolution because the latter is of the people and people tend to be emotional when it gets to their lives and children’s’.
2. Also being emotional is not a flow but rather a tool for the rational leaders of opposition to lead in the right way.
3. Democracies within totalitarian regimes are created by a will to change not by a will to negotiate; which is the deal with most of the Arab countries. Sometimes you have to amputate the leg to save the whole body. In some cases, you have to amputate the head!
4. Revolutions are often triggered by acts or actions that intimidate the people and within the dust settlement of the battle plans can be created to get out of the bottle neck. Sometimes you have to shoot then think (Cowboy method )
5. Agreeing on they are against is exactly equal to what they are pro. The enemy of your enemy is friend, and the friend of your enemy is your enemy.

Although I disagree with some of the points stated in your blog, I am really happy to see people thinking in an organized manner, and by this disagreement we can build a common ground we can all agree on.

Thanks for your thoughts;
Ra’ed
0 #3
Yousef Sawalha 07 February 2011
Good points.. 9a7 lsanak

Keep in your mind:
نصف الثوره مقتل الشعب

Put yourself in 7asaneen or m7ammadeen shoes, his children are so hungry, while the president and his "7awash" are wasting moqaddarat el balad (natural GAZ, el arady elzera3ah, mo2assasat el dawleh..etc)

30 Years of damage wont be tolerated easily once you got a chance to show your madness ...
0 #2
Nora Bajes 07 February 2011
I think you have captured the exact political status of the ME Region, marking the start point, the process and where to all the political evidence will lead the Arab Nations, and how it will affect Egypt and extend to the neighboring countries.

You have showed a well analyzed political review, I agree with all your points as they are valid, convincing and on a rational basis, backed up with the straight-to-the-point selected quotes, as you have managed to look at the bigger picture, and cleared it out.

I love it and I think it will help a lot of people to decide where they stand in the current political storm, and to be aware of the alarming situation and its upcoming echoes, instead of being emotional and sympathetic to have a momentary victory, and surface satisfactory that the government complied with their demand.

Je baisse le chapeau Monsieur :)
0 #1
Amani Al-Dabbas 07 February 2011
i totally agree with your point that arabs are emotional rather than rational , its really weird how everyone started demonstrations and even started thinking and rejecting their status after what happened in Tunis , i mean what were they doing before , suddenly they realized they are not happy with whats happening at their country !

also im not with Mubarak or against him but i do believe that this man made a great job ! i mean he has been leading 80 million people for the past 30 years ! thats something huge its not qatar or jordan its Egypt ! i saw an interview for Mubarak where he said that Egypt consume 200 million peace of bread daily ! huh thats a big number , and lets see what other duties he got , ruling such a huge country is not that easy , i just believe things will not be easy for the next president and lets hope he will be someone who really deserve the role. i think Mubarak is dealing with the demonstrations in a very rational way , he is trying to change but the problem is people are not listening , they have only one idea which is they want him out and no matter what he do they will not accept it , so lets wait and see !
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